STX Seagate Technology
Intrinsic value$271.25
Price (at call)$849.28
Margin of safety
-68.1%
vs market (rating basis)
-16.3%
Model unavailable; showing baseline valuation.
⚠ LLM error: empty response; using baseline
The story
Value drivers
| Revenue growth (Y1) | 18.2% |
| Terminal growth | 3.5% |
| Forecast horizon | 10y |
| Target operating margin | 32.6% |
| Years to target margin | 5 |
| Sales-to-capital | 2.13 |
| Beta | 2.09 |
| Failure probability | 0.0% |
| Cost of capital (WACC) | 14.0% |
| Terminal WACC | 9.2% |
Valuation bridge
| PV of explicit FCFF | 27.67B |
| PV of terminal value | 35.77B |
| Equity value | 61.57B |
| ÷ shares → per share | $271.25 |
News
bullish +0.60 · 8 articles
- These 2 AI Storage Stocks Soared as the S&P 500 Fell
- SK Hynix Surges 7% as Memory Bid Widens Beyond NAND; Seagate Rallies 5%
- Memory, Other AI-Related Stocks Lead the Market’s Top Performers Friday
- WDC Stock's Big Rally: Buy, Sell, or Hold After a 70% 6-Month Surge?
- Billionaire Stephen Mandel’s Top 2 AI Stock Picks
- Seagate's YTD Gains are Double the Industry: Is the Stock Still a Buy?
- Will Quantum's Cost Discipline Keep Margins on an Upward Trajectory?
- Forget Nvidia. This AI Stock Is Selling the Storage Behind the Boom
Projected free cash flow to the firm
| Yr | Revenue | Growth | Margin | NOPAT | Reinvest | FCFF | PV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14.41B | 18.2% | 32.6% | 4.05B | 1.04B | 3.01B | 2.64B |
| 2 | 16.80B | 16.6% | 32.6% | 4.72B | 1.12B | 3.60B | 2.77B |
| 3 | 19.31B | 14.9% | 32.6% | 5.43B | 1.18B | 4.25B | 2.87B |
| 4 | 21.88B | 13.3% | 32.6% | 6.15B | 1.21B | 4.95B | 2.93B |
| 5 | 24.44B | 11.7% | 32.6% | 6.87B | 1.20B | 5.67B | 2.94B |
| 6 | 26.89B | 10.0% | 32.6% | 7.56B | 1.15B | 6.41B | 2.92B |
| 7 | 29.15B | 8.4% | 32.6% | 8.20B | 1.06B | 7.13B | 2.85B |
| 8 | 31.12B | 6.8% | 32.6% | 8.75B | 927.12M | 7.82B | 2.74B |
| 9 | 32.72B | 5.1% | 32.6% | 9.20B | 750.90M | 8.45B | 2.59B |
| 10 | 33.86B | 3.5% | 32.6% | 9.52B | 538.22M | 8.98B | 2.42B |