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SWKS Skyworks Solutions

semiconductor · valued with glm-5.2 medium conviction · deep-dived 2026-09-14

STRONG SELL
Intrinsic value$16.57
Price (at call)$88.35
Margin of safety -81.2%
vs market (rating basis) -52.3%

Model unavailable; showing baseline valuation.

⚠ LLM error: empty response; using baseline

The story

Value drivers

Revenue growth (Y1)-8.0%
Terminal growth3.5%
Forecast horizon10y
Target operating margin8.8%
Years to target margin5
Sales-to-capital0.59
Beta1.52
Failure probability0.0%
Cost of capital (WACC)11.4%
Terminal WACC9.2%

Valuation bridge

PV of explicit FCFF1.36B
PV of terminal value963.44M
Equity value2.49B
÷ shares → per share$16.57

News

score · 8 articles

  • Skyworks Solutions (SWKS) Stock Trades Up, Here Is Why
  • SWKS Stock Just Hit a New 52-Week High. What Comes Next.
  • Why This Apple Supplier Is on Pace for Its Best 5-Day Stretch in 17 Years
  • Apple Advances 3% as First Foldable iPhone Arrives at Its Highest Price Ever; Skyworks Rallies 9%, Alphabet Ticks Up
  • Skyworks Rises 7%, Qorvo Gains 5% as CEO Says $22B Merger Is in Final Stages; Qualcomm Ticks Up
  • Strength Seen in Skyworks (SWKS): Can Its 9.8% Jump Turn into More Strength?
  • Skyworks Solutions Sees Qorvo Deal Closing This Year, Targets $500M in Synergies
  • Skyworks (SWKS) Rockets 9.8% on Looming $22B Qorvo Merger Nod

Projected free cash flow to the firm

YrRevenueGrowthMarginNOPATReinvestFCFFPV
1 3.69B -8.0% 8.8% 293.76M 0 293.76M 263.72M
2 3.44B -6.7% 8.8% 274.01M 0 274.01M 220.83M
3 3.26B -5.4% 8.8% 259.09M 0 259.09M 187.46M
4 3.12B -4.2% 8.8% 248.30M 0 248.30M 161.27M
5 3.03B -2.9% 8.8% 241.13M 0 241.13M 140.60M
6 2.98B -1.6% 8.8% 237.24M 0 237.24M 124.19M
7 2.97B -0.3% 8.8% 236.45M 0 236.45M 111.11M
8 3.00B 0.9% 8.8% 238.68M 47.23M 191.46M 80.77M
9 3.07B 2.2% 8.8% 243.99M 112.17M 131.81M 49.92M
10 3.17B 3.5% 8.8% 252.53M 180.60M 71.93M 24.45M

⚠ Extreme gap to market price — large, heavily-covered stocks are rarely mispriced this much; the gap likely embeds disruption, decline, or balance-sheet risk the model underweights. Treat as a flag to investigate, not a verdict.

History

DatePriceIntrinsicMoSRating
2026-09-14$88.35 $16.57 -81.2% STRONG SELL
2026-08-17$69.62 $17.20 -75.3% STRONG SELL
2026-07-17$57.63 $25.12 -56.4% SELL
2026-06-23$73.44 $25.01 -65.9% SELL