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TER Teradyne

semiconductor · valued with glm-5.2 medium conviction · deep-dived 2026-09-15

SELL
Intrinsic value$86.74
Price (at call)$329.20
Margin of safety -73.6%
vs market (rating basis) -32.2%

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The story

Value drivers

Revenue growth (Y1)3.0%
Terminal growth3.5%
Forecast horizon10y
Target operating margin30.4%
Years to target margin5
Sales-to-capital1.49
Beta1.78
Failure probability0.0%
Cost of capital (WACC)12.9%
Terminal WACC9.4%

Valuation bridge

PV of explicit FCFF6.91B
PV of terminal value6.55B
Equity value13.56B
÷ shares → per share$86.74

News

bearish -0.30 · 8 articles

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Projected free cash flow to the firm

YrRevenueGrowthMarginNOPATReinvestFCFFPV
1 4.60B 3.0% 30.4% 1.23B 89.87M 1.14B 1.01B
2 4.74B 3.1% 30.4% 1.27B 94.28M 1.17B 919.34M
3 4.89B 3.1% 30.4% 1.31B 98.93M 1.21B 838.18M
4 5.04B 3.2% 30.4% 1.35B 103.83M 1.24B 764.61M
5 5.20B 3.2% 30.4% 1.39B 109.00M 1.28B 697.86M
6 5.37B 3.3% 30.4% 1.44B 114.45M 1.32B 637.29M
7 5.55B 3.3% 30.4% 1.48B 120.20M 1.36B 582.29M
8 5.74B 3.4% 30.4% 1.53B 126.28M 1.41B 532.32M
9 5.94B 3.4% 30.4% 1.59B 132.70M 1.45B 486.89M
10 6.15B 3.5% 30.4% 1.64B 139.49M 1.50B 445.59M

History

DatePriceIntrinsicMoSRating
2026-09-15$329.20 $86.74 -73.6% SELL
2026-08-18$443.14 $89.55 -79.8% SELL
2026-07-20$322.36 $104.72 -67.5% SELL
2026-06-23$420.12 $123.65 -70.6% SELL