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TSN Tyson Foods

consumer_staples · valued with glm-5.2 medium conviction · deep-dived 2026-09-10

STRONG SELL
Intrinsic value$0.00
Price (at call)$51.74
Margin of safety -100.0%
vs market (rating basis) -76.8%

Model unavailable; showing baseline valuation.

⚠ LLM error: empty response; using baseline

The story

Value drivers

Revenue growth (Y1)3.0%
Terminal growth3.5%
Forecast horizon10y
Target operating margin2.2%
Years to target margin5
Sales-to-capital2.07
Beta0.50
Failure probability0.0%
Cost of capital (WACC)6.9%
Terminal WACC8.4%

Valuation bridge

PV of explicit FCFF-294.40M
PV of terminal value7.08B
Equity value0
÷ shares → per share$0.00

News

bearish -0.60 · 8 articles

  • Phillips 66 and Tyson Foods have been highlighted as Zacks Bull and Bear of the Day
  • What Does Hormel Foods (HRL) Naming A New CFO Mean For Investors?
  • Tyson Foods (TSN) Stock Looks Cheap Following Its Lowered 2026 Outlook
  • 3 Ways to Play Unusual Options Activity in Kraft Heinz (KHC) Stock
  • Is Tyson Foods (TSN) Undervalued After Cutting Outlook And Closing Beef Plants?
  • 2 Mid-Cap Stocks to Keep an Eye On and 1 We Avoid
  • Tyson issues another profit warning
  • Severe US Cattle Shortage Eats Into Meatpacker Tyson’s Earnings

Projected free cash flow to the firm

YrRevenueGrowthMarginNOPATReinvestFCFFPV
1 57.36B 3.0% 2.2% 831.87M 807.45M 24.42M 22.85M
2 59.12B 3.1% 2.2% 857.29M 847.07M 10.21M 8.94M
3 60.96B 3.1% 2.2% 883.96M 888.83M -4.87M -3.99M
4 62.89B 3.2% 2.2% 911.95M 932.85M -20.90M -16.03M
5 64.91B 3.2% 2.2% 941.34M 979.27M -37.94M -27.22M
6 67.04B 3.3% 2.2% 972.19M 1.03B -56.06M -37.65M
7 69.28B 3.3% 2.2% 1.00B 1.08B -75.36M -47.36M
8 71.62B 3.4% 2.2% 1.04B 1.13B -95.91M -56.41M
9 74.09B 3.4% 2.2% 1.07B 1.19B -117.82M -64.84M
10 76.68B 3.5% 2.2% 1.11B 1.25B -141.17M -72.70M

⚠ intrinsic value floored at 0 — the drivers imply the equity claim is worth less than the debt ahead of it · Extreme gap to market price — large, heavily-covered stocks are rarely mispriced this much; the gap likely embeds disruption, decline, or balance-sheet risk the model underweights. Treat as a flag to investigate, not a verdict.

History

DatePriceIntrinsicMoSRating
2026-09-10$51.74 $0.00 -100.0% STRONG SELL
2026-08-03$57.96 $27.30 -52.9% HOLD
2026-06-23$57.42 $28.66 -50.1% HOLD