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TT Trane Technologies

industrial · valued with glm-5.2 medium conviction · deep-dived 2026-09-15

BUY
Intrinsic value$229.82
Price (at call)$426.01
Margin of safety -46.1%
vs market (rating basis) +14.0%

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The story

Value drivers

Revenue growth (Y1)10.1%
Terminal growth3.5%
Forecast horizon10y
Target operating margin17.8%
Years to target margin5
Sales-to-capital1.68
Beta1.20
Failure probability0.0%
Cost of capital (WACC)10.1%
Terminal WACC9.3%

Valuation bridge

PV of explicit FCFF20.97B
PV of terminal value32.47B
Equity value50.57B
÷ shares → per share$229.82

News

neutral -0.10 · 8 articles

  • 2 Profitable Stocks to Target This Week and 1 We Turn Down
  • Trane Technologies (TT) Suffers a Larger Drop Than the General Market: Key Insights
  • Here's Why You Should Add Trane Technologies Stock to Your Portfolio
  • 1 S&P 500 Stock on Our Buy List and 2 Facing Challenges
  • Is Trane Technologies Stock Underperforming the Dow?
  • 1 Large-Cap Stock with Impressive Fundamentals and 2 We Find Risky
  • EFX Gains From Data Advantage & Innovations Amid Refinancing Risks
  • Should Eaton’s AI Data Center and Healthcare Deals With Trane Signal a Strategic Shift for ETN Investors?

Projected free cash flow to the firm

YrRevenueGrowthMarginNOPATReinvestFCFFPV
1 24.45B 10.1% 17.8% 3.51B 1.33B 2.19B 1.99B
2 26.73B 9.3% 17.8% 3.84B 1.36B 2.49B 2.05B
3 29.03B 8.6% 17.8% 4.17B 1.37B 2.81B 2.10B
4 31.31B 7.9% 17.8% 4.50B 1.36B 3.14B 2.14B
5 33.55B 7.1% 17.8% 4.82B 1.33B 3.49B 2.16B
6 35.70B 6.4% 17.8% 5.13B 1.28B 3.85B 2.16B
7 37.73B 5.7% 17.8% 5.43B 1.21B 4.22B 2.15B
8 39.61B 5.0% 17.8% 5.69B 1.11B 4.58B 2.12B
9 41.28B 4.2% 17.8% 5.94B 995.09M 4.94B 2.08B
10 42.73B 3.5% 17.8% 6.14B 858.32M 5.28B 2.02B

History

DatePriceIntrinsicMoSRating
2026-09-15$426.01 $229.82 -46.1% BUY
2026-06-23$474.34 $242.24 -48.9% HOLD