▟ Vinebot intrinsic value, daily

← back

TXN Texas Instruments

semiconductor · valued with glm-5.2 medium conviction · deep-dived 2026-09-16

SELL
Intrinsic value$61.59
Price (at call)$263.43
Margin of safety -76.6%
vs market (rating basis) -39.4%

Model unavailable; showing baseline valuation.

⚠ LLM error: empty response; using baseline

The story

Value drivers

Revenue growth (Y1)-4.1%
Terminal growth3.5%
Forecast horizon10y
Target operating margin38.4%
Years to target margin5
Sales-to-capital0.64
Beta1.31
Failure probability0.0%
Cost of capital (WACC)10.6%
Terminal WACC9.3%

Valuation bridge

PV of explicit FCFF34.89B
PV of terminal value31.84B
Equity value56.24B
÷ shares → per share$61.59

News

neutral +0.10 · 8 articles

  • What Was Qualcomm Stock Telling You Before It Ran?
  • Applied Materials Stock Already Fell Without A Shock, So What Would A Real One Do?
  • Buy TI and NVIDIA for Exposure to Semiconductor Boom
  • Should You Buy Cirrus Logic Stock Because Its Buyback Got Cheaper?
  • Texas Instruments Is Up 55% in 2026: This Is the Secret Tech Stock You’re Missing Out On
  • 1 Semiconductor Stock with Exciting Potential and 2 Facing Headwinds
  • Five Dividend Stocks Crushing Inflation With Consistent Dividend Payout Growth
  • Qorvo, Qualcomm, Texas Instruments, Vishay Intertechnology, and Impinj Stocks Trade Up, What You Need To Know

Projected free cash flow to the firm

YrRevenueGrowthMarginNOPATReinvestFCFFPV
1 18.66B -4.1% 38.4% 6.28B 0 6.28B 5.67B
2 18.06B -3.2% 38.4% 6.08B 0 6.08B 4.96B
3 17.63B -2.4% 38.4% 5.93B 0 5.93B 4.38B
4 17.36B -1.5% 38.4% 5.84B 0 5.84B 3.90B
5 17.23B -0.7% 38.4% 5.80B 0 5.80B 3.50B
6 17.26B 0.1% 38.4% 5.81B 36.68M 5.77B 3.15B
7 17.43B 1.0% 38.4% 5.86B 262.91M 5.60B 2.76B
8 17.74B 1.8% 38.4% 5.97B 493.88M 5.48B 2.44B
9 18.21B 2.7% 38.4% 6.13B 735.40M 5.39B 2.17B
10 18.85B 3.5% 38.4% 6.34B 993.69M 5.35B 1.95B

History

DatePriceIntrinsicMoSRating
2026-09-16$263.43 $61.59 -76.6% SELL
2026-08-19$272.24 $64.31 -76.4% SELL
2026-07-22$291.30 $110.30 -62.1% SELL
2026-07-21$284.07 $57.88 -79.6% N/A
2026-06-23$304.36 $89.17 -70.7% SELL