WDC Western Digital
Intrinsic value$428.16
Price (at call)$460.93
Margin of safety
-7.1%
vs market (rating basis)
+108.7%
Model unavailable; showing baseline valuation.
⚠ LLM error: empty response; using baseline
The story
Value drivers
| Revenue growth (Y1) | 27.4% |
| Terminal growth | 3.5% |
| Forecast horizon | 10y |
| Target operating margin | 50.0% |
| Years to target margin | 5 |
| Sales-to-capital | 1.30 |
| Beta | 2.18 |
| Failure probability | 0.0% |
| Cost of capital (WACC) | 14.7% |
| Terminal WACC | 9.4% |
Valuation bridge
| PV of explicit FCFF | 68.32B |
| PV of terminal value | 86.40B |
| Equity value | 154.37B |
| ÷ shares → per share | $428.16 |
News
bearish -0.40 · 8 articles
- Can Seagate Sustain Its Strong Revenue Growth in Fiscal 2027?
- Micron Could Be the Next Nvidia For Patient Investors
- Memory Stocks Slide as Rates and Oil Swamp JPMorgan’s Overweight Call: SK Hynix Sinks 5%, Western Digital Drops 3%, Micron Slips
- SanDisk Traded Its Best Prices For Something Rarer
- Seagate's HAMR Bet is Paying Off: Can Mozaic Sustain the Momentum?
- Is Western Digital (WDC) Priced Too High?
- STX Stock: The Math Hidden In Its Price
- Can SanDisk Stock Keep Climbing When It Cannot Make Enough To Sell?
Projected free cash flow to the firm
| Yr | Revenue | Growth | Margin | NOPAT | Reinvest | FCFF | PV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16.45B | 27.4% | 72.4% | 11.33B | 2.71B | 8.61B | 7.51B |
| 2 | 20.52B | 24.7% | 66.8% | 13.03B | 3.12B | 9.91B | 7.53B |
| 3 | 25.04B | 22.1% | 61.2% | 14.57B | 3.47B | 11.10B | 7.35B |
| 4 | 29.90B | 19.4% | 55.6% | 15.81B | 3.73B | 12.08B | 6.98B |
| 5 | 34.91B | 16.8% | 50.0% | 16.60B | 3.84B | 12.75B | 6.42B |
| 6 | 39.83B | 14.1% | 50.0% | 18.94B | 3.78B | 15.16B | 6.65B |
| 7 | 44.39B | 11.5% | 50.0% | 21.11B | 3.50B | 17.60B | 6.74B |
| 8 | 48.29B | 8.8% | 50.0% | 22.96B | 3.00B | 19.96B | 6.66B |
| 9 | 51.26B | 6.2% | 50.0% | 24.37B | 2.28B | 22.09B | 6.43B |
| 10 | 53.06B | 3.5% | 50.0% | 25.23B | 1.38B | 23.85B | 6.05B |