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WSM Williams-Sonoma, Inc.

retail · valued with glm-5.2 medium conviction · deep-dived 2026-09-15

SELL
Intrinsic value$78.83
Price (at call)$229.43
Margin of safety -65.6%
vs market (rating basis) -25.8%

Model unavailable; showing baseline valuation.

⚠ LLM error: empty response; using baseline

The story

Value drivers

Revenue growth (Y1)-3.5%
Terminal growth3.5%
Forecast horizon10y
Target operating margin13.1%
Years to target margin5
Sales-to-capital3.84
Beta1.46
Failure probability0.0%
Cost of capital (WACC)11.5%
Terminal WACC9.5%

Valuation bridge

PV of explicit FCFF4.72B
PV of terminal value3.54B
Equity value9.28B
÷ shares → per share$78.83

News

neutral -0.10 · 8 articles

  • Is Williams Sonoma (WSM) Fairly Valued As Strong Long Term Returns Meet A Softer Month?
  • ALH vs. WSM: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?
  • Here is What to Know Beyond Why Williams-Sonoma, Inc. (WSM) is a Trending Stock
  • 1 Cash-Producing Stock on Our Buy List and 2 We Ignore
  • Home Depot Drops 12.4% in a Month: Time to Buy or Stay Cautious?
  • Here's What to Expect Ahead of RH's Q2 Earnings Release
  • Uneven Investor Sentiment Toward Hardline Retailers Could Persist Amid Macro Headwinds, UBS Says
  • This week in 5 numbers: The right personality could make up for a skills gap

Projected free cash flow to the firm

YrRevenueGrowthMarginNOPATReinvestFCFFPV
1 7.73B -3.5% 18.0% 1.04B 0 1.04B 933.78M
2 7.52B -2.7% 16.8% 944.88M 0 944.88M 759.42M
3 7.38B -1.9% 15.5% 859.38M 0 859.38M 619.22M
4 7.29B -1.1% 14.3% 782.92M 0 782.92M 505.74M
5 7.27B -0.4% 13.1% 713.61M 0 713.61M 413.26M
6 7.30B 0.4% 13.1% 716.54M 7.76M 708.78M 367.98M
7 7.38B 1.2% 13.1% 725.01M 22.46M 702.56M 327.00M
8 7.53B 2.0% 13.1% 739.19M 37.56M 701.63M 292.77M
9 7.73B 2.7% 13.1% 759.35M 53.42M 705.93M 264.07M
10 8.00B 3.5% 13.1% 785.93M 70.42M 715.50M 239.96M

History

DatePriceIntrinsicMoSRating
2026-09-15$229.43 $78.83 -65.6% SELL
2026-08-04$239.80 $103.93 -56.7% HOLD
2026-06-23$226.14 $91.18 -59.7% SELL