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WYNN Wynn Resorts

retail · valued with glm-5.2 medium conviction · deep-dived 2026-09-16

HOLD
Intrinsic value$0.24
Price (at call)$86.71
Margin of safety -99.7%
vs market (rating basis) -15.7%

Model unavailable; showing baseline valuation.

⚠ LLM error: empty response; using baseline

The story

Value drivers

Revenue growth (Y1)23.9%
Terminal growth3.5%
Forecast horizon10y
Target operating margin12.3%
Years to target margin5
Sales-to-capital0.72
Beta0.99
Failure probability0.0%
Cost of capital (WACC)8.8%
Terminal WACC8.9%

Valuation bridge

PV of explicit FCFF-5.69B
PV of terminal value14.04B
Equity value25.16M
÷ shares → per share$0.24

News

bearish -0.30 · 8 articles

  • 3 Reasons WYNN is Risky and 1 Stock to Buy Instead
  • Are Options Traders Betting on a Big Move in Wynn Resorts Stock?
  • Wynn Resorts Subsidiaries Launch $900 Million Private Offering of Senior Notes Due 2035
  • 3 Consumer Stocks We Steer Clear Of
  • 3 S&P 500 Stocks That Fall Short
  • Wynn Resorts (WYNN) Doubles Its Profit But Cracks Are Showing
  • Why Is Wynn (WYNN) Down 9.5% Since Last Earnings Report?
  • Wynn Resorts (WYNN) Beat Expectations, Is The Stock Trading At A Discount?

Projected free cash flow to the firm

YrRevenueGrowthMarginNOPATReinvestFCFFPV
1 9.18B 23.9% 16.6% 1.21B 2.45B -1.24B -1.14B
2 11.16B 21.6% 15.6% 1.38B 2.75B -1.37B -1.15B
3 13.32B 19.3% 14.5% 1.54B 2.99B -1.45B -1.13B
4 15.60B 17.1% 13.4% 1.67B 3.15B -1.49B -1.06B
5 17.91B 14.8% 12.3% 1.76B 3.20B -1.44B -943.80M
6 20.15B 12.5% 12.3% 1.98B 3.11B -1.13B -681.87M
7 22.23B 10.3% 12.3% 2.18B 2.87B -688.44M -380.67M
8 24.01B 8.0% 12.3% 2.36B 2.47B -112.10M -56.96M
9 25.39B 5.8% 12.3% 2.49B 1.92B 577.97M 269.82M
10 26.28B 3.5% 12.3% 2.58B 1.23B 1.35B 579.35M

⚠ Extreme gap to market price — large, heavily-covered stocks are rarely mispriced this much; the gap likely embeds disruption, decline, or balance-sheet risk the model underweights. Treat as a flag to investigate, not a verdict.

History

DatePriceIntrinsicMoSRating
2026-09-16$86.71 $0.24 -99.7% HOLD
2026-08-05$97.60 $47.32 -51.5% BUY
2026-06-23$104.15 $54.49 -47.7% BUY